25 Jul · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1574
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1587
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H19-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.