25 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1466
FormWWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1587
FormLLLWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+121
H2H39-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-15)