25 Jul · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1466
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1616
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+150
H2H50-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-10)