26 Jul · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1549
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Shevchuk
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)