26 Jul · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1675
FormWWLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Bondarenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1473
FormLLWLL
73%
27%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 63% (68)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+202
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)