26 Jul · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Lapa
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1333
FormLLLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
3-0
28%
3-1
26%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H81-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-57)