26 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1461
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kurtenko
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H40-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.