26 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1675
FormWWLWW
30%
70%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 63% (68)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~74 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+167
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)