26 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1675
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bondarenko
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1666
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Volgina🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 63% (68)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.