26 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1486
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kurtenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1469
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H13-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.