30 Jul · 13:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1530
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1608
FormLLLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H77-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-10)