30 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1433
FormLWWWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1608
FormLLLLW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~73 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)