Polina Pashchenko vs Alina Kurtenko — Setka Cup Women

← Setka Cup Women predictions

30 Jul · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko

ELO 1489

3-0Final setsPashchenko won

🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko

ELO 1623

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurtenko at 79%. The actual result was Polina Pashchenko 3-0 — the underdog won.

Polina Pashchenko — profile →Alina Kurtenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kurtenko favoured — closing 1.32

Upset

Total 73.5

51 points played

Under

Set handicap

Kurtenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kurtenko −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 3.5

closing 2.6

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

3.18

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Polina Pashchenko is favoured to win, below means Alina Kurtenko.

▲ Polina Pashchenkopre 22% → final 100%

Alina Kurtenko ▼

Biggest swing 81 ptsPashchenko recovered from 19%51 points · 3 games