30 Jul · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1433
FormLWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1598
FormWWLLW
30%
70%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~73 pts
0-3
26%
1-3
26%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+165
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+165)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)