31 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1394
FormWWLLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+202
H2H38-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-28)