31 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+109
H2H78-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (78-48)