31 Jul · 20:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1394
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lapa
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+93
H2H36-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-13)