31 Jul · 14:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1394
FormWWLLW
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1679
FormWWWWL
19%
81%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 63% (73)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 65%Total ~72 pts
0-3
36%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+285
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+285)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)