31 Jul · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1608
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
0-3
24%
1-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+121
H2H107-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (107-38)