31 Jul · 20:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1690
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volgina
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1679
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bondarenko🌟Bondarenko covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.