31 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1487
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1679
FormWWWWL
28%
72%
🌟Bondarenko goes over total as favourite 63% (73)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~73 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+192
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)