31 Jul · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1608
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H103-93
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.