31 Jul · 21:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Bondarenko
KB
🇺🇦Kateryna Bondarenko
ELO 1679
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
0-3
22%
1-3
22%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+83
H2H5-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)