1 Aug · 15:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1598
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ivchenko
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1542
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)