1 Aug · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1609
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1662
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gordeets🌟Gordeets covers set handicap as underdog 64% (277)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H107-104
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (107-104)