4 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1579
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rzhevska
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1503
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H19-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-6)