5 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1564
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1618
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+54
H2H25-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-24)