5 Aug · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1564
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rzhevska
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1530
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H29-67
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.