5 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kurtenko
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1476
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H41-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.