5 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1618
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~74 pts
0-3
25%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
13%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+144
H2H42-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-18)