5 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1530
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yureneva
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+56
H2H125-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (125-53)