7 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1647
FormLLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shevchuk
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+61
H2H18-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-17)