7 Aug · 16:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1586
FormWWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1587
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H20-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.