7 Aug · 21:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1486
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1587
FormWWLLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
0-3
23%
1-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+101
H2H108-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (108-38)