8 Aug · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VS
🇺🇦Viktoria Shevchuk
ELO 1589
FormLWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Shevchuk
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1402
FormLLWLW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Shevchuk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~73 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)