8 Aug · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KT
🇺🇦Ksenia Tymchenko
ELO 1432
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tymchenko
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1402
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Tymchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.