9 Aug · 17:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Kurtenko
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1259
FormLLLWW
73%
27%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 63% (227)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
3-0
29%
3-1
27%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+203
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)