9 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1259
FormLLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
28%
72%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 63% (227)
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+193
H2H10-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-0)