9 Aug · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.