9 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1240
FormWLLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)