9 Aug · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1259
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plashchynska
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1240
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Plashchynska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (43)
Fair odds · Plashchynska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H14-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.