9 Aug · 15:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1259
FormLLLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1434
FormLLWWL
29%
71%
🌟Plashchynska stays under total as underdog 63% (227)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~71 pts
0-3
28%
1-3
26%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H36-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-23)