9 Aug · 13:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OM
🇺🇦Olga Melnik
ELO 1240
FormWLLLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1434
FormLLWWL
28%
72%
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~71 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
27%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+194
H2H20-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-13)