9 Aug · 14:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Viktoria Kurtenko
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurtenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1434
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H14-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.