11 Aug · 11:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1249
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Harmash
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1238
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Harmash rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (121)
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.