11 Aug · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1537
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1551
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H29-68
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.