12 Aug · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1765
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Yevtodii
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1640
FormWWWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+125
H2H31-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-5)