12 Aug · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1752
FormWWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Ovriakh
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1640
FormWWWWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
23%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+112
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)