12 Aug · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1765
FormWLLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Yevtodii
RB
🇺🇦Roksolana Budnyk
ELO 1615
FormLLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
3-0
25%
3-1
25%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+150
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)