12 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1725
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1752
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H7-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.