12 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1725
FormLLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Plokhotniuk
UD
🇺🇦Ulana Dronova
ELO 1598
FormWLWWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~72 pts
3-0
24%
3-1
24%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+127
H2H20-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-19)